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Old Posted Apr 3, 2020, 8:05 PM
whatnext whatnext is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: Vancouver
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Quote:
Originally Posted by someone123 View Post
One factor that will make things slow is that we don't really know what effect different measures have on transmission. Each change is an experiment and we need to wait for a couple weeks of data in order to gather evidence on what the effect is. Move too quickly and there will be a resurgence that then requires another 4-8 week crackdown.

But I think little things like opening more businesses and parks and people having small private gatherings, etc. are probably very low risk. Only 1 month ago there were still packed international flights from at-risk areas, conferences and concerts happening in Canada with thousands of attendees. That's the context of the initial infection rate that we needed to drop by 1/2 or 2/3.
Sooner or later governments are going to have to accept the fatalities. You can't lockdown a western economy for 2+ months without leaving a smoking hole where your economy used to be.
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