Quote:
Originally Posted by Crawford
Except anti-immigration mood has actually decreased over time.
Everyone knows the reason that immigration to U.S. has dropped in the last couple of years, and that's probably ending in a few months. It has nothing to do with the migrants themselves.
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How optimistic.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Crawford
I would guess there will be a dramatic immigration surge in the coming decades, as birth rates continue to drop, as we've seen in basically every other first world western country.
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Whether we'll see a "dramatic immigration surge" (for no reason whatsoeve), it's as you said a "guess".
What we are sure about is the US TFR fell to very low levels and showed no sign of recovery during the good economic momentum. Births fell to 3.8 million in 2018 (down from 4.3 million in 2007) while deaths keep rising inexorably as larger generations to start die off. It's at 2.8 million (2018). By 2030, people born in 1950 will start to die (3.6 million people) pretty much ending positive natural growth in the US.
This over optimistic explosion on immigration numbers expected by you, if it happens, will only offset the traditional 2 million national growth.