Quote:
Originally Posted by Uhuniau
8- and 9-point margins might be considered safe in the U.S., but they aren't here.
Yes, the Tories have had candidate issues in that riding... But I can guarantee you, 100%, that both the fedprov Tories and the fedprov Liberals go into almost every electoral event assuming that it'll be tight, and in the past decade they've been right.
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So to summarize, a riding that has voted Liberal in every single election for the last 30 years, never by a margin smaller than 8%, and in the last 10 years by an average margin of 21%, and had the highest liberal vote in Eastern Ontario in the last election and the 4th highest liberal vote in all of ontario, and which the local
newspaper calls a "liberal stronghold" is a swing riding because some local operatives say it will be close.
Makes sense to me.