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-   -   The Brightline Thread (https://skyscraperpage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=198371)

bobdreamz May 15, 2018 1:22 PM

Video of BrightLine & Metrorail trains departing their stations
 
Video Link

N830MH May 16, 2018 3:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bobdreamz (Post 8188312)

Hi Bobdreamz, thank you so much for sharing this. I really appreciate that. Hopefully they will extended to Orlando International Airport station sometime in late 2020 or early 2021 during at that time.

eleven=11 May 16, 2018 8:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by eleven=11 (Post 8186387)
holy crap go to web site quick and get cheap tickets very fast

did anybody get cheap tickets?

eleven=11 Jun 18, 2018 5:23 PM

station construction on center right side
you can also see metro mover stations
https://instagram.fmia1-1.fna.fbcdn....11149824_n.jpg

bobdreamz Jun 25, 2018 5:00 AM

Brightline high-speed passenger train gets Orange County OK to lay tracks in wetlands
 
June 19, 2018

After winning approval Tuesday from Orange County commissioners, the company planning a high-speed passenger train linking Orlando with Miami expects to start laying rail in Central Florida later this year, a project executive said.

The 235-mile rail service includes a 22-mile stretch through Orange County that runs parallel to State Road 528 beginning at the St. Johns River and running to Orlando International Airport, mostly through protected wetlands.

The plan to ease the direct impact on 106 acres of wetlands required a permit approved by commissioners.

Michael Cegelis, executive vice president of rail infrastructure at Brightline Trains, said the proposed rail route from the airport terminal isn’t the shortest or most direct through the county to the east coast but it is “the path of least disruption.”

The company could have gone south from the airport, which would have been a shorter route to the coast.

“But that would have been all virgin territory,” Cegelis said.

The company chose to run through wetlands along the toll-road bed, which accommodates cars and trucks.

“To make public transportation work, there are times when you have [to accept] impacts,” Orange county Mayor Teresa Jacobs said, crediting the effort to minimize effects on wetlands. “They could have carved a whole new path and created a great deal more impact.”

Commissioner Emily Bonilla, who was elected on a conservation platform, concurred.

“Of all the options, this is the best,” she said.

There are no scheduled stops on the segment between Orlando and West Palm.

http://www.orlandosentinel.com/news/...619-story.html

Hatman Jun 25, 2018 5:02 PM

Brightline makes official bid for Orlando-to-Tampa extension along I-4 corridor
https://www.tcpalm.com/story/news/lo...mpa/726921002/

Quote:

The path for Brightline to expand from Orlando to Tampa became clearer Friday when Gov. Rick Scott announced the state will consider leasing land along Interstate 4 for development of a high-speed passenger-rail corridor.

The Florida Department of Transportation and the Central Florida Expressway Authority — which own the rights of way — said they will accept proposals from all interested private companies in an "open and transparent procurement process."

Brightline triggered the process by submitting an unsolicited proposal to the state to run higher-speed passenger trains along the interstate from Orlando to Tampa.
It looks like the Brightline machine keeps rolling along, with the extension to Tampa queued up for construction after the extension to Orlando is done in 2021. I hope that Jacksonville will also happen eventually, but it looks like things may have cooled on that front. It sounds like they are talking about jumping on other corridors in the country with equal potential to the Miami-Orlando-Tampa corridor. From the article:
Quote:

Edens also said Brightline’s financial model — taking advantage of existing infrastructure and leasing privately-owned or government-owned rights of way — could be replicated in other highly populated, highly congested city pairs such as Atlanta-Charlotte, Houston-Dallas and Dallas-Austin.

"Our vision doesn't stop here," Edens said. "Our goal is to look at other corridors with similar characteristics — too long to drive, too short to fly."

N830MH Jun 25, 2018 8:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hatman (Post 8232166)
Brightline makes official bid for Orlando-to-Tampa extension along I-4 corridor
https://www.tcpalm.com/story/news/lo...mpa/726921002/



It looks like the Brightline machine keeps rolling along, with the extension to Tampa queued up for construction after the extension to Orlando is done in 2021. I hope that Jacksonville will also happen eventually, but it looks like things may have cooled on that front. It sounds like they are talking about jumping on other corridors in the country with equal potential to the Miami-Orlando-Tampa corridor. From the article:

Absolutely! They will extended to Jacksonville sometime in near the future. It will happen.

Lakelander Jun 25, 2018 8:43 PM

Yeah, I don't see of anything being cooled on the Jax segment. The track already exists and they own it. This process of extending to Tampa requires more time and steps like this, that aren't required when existing infrastructure is in place. Personally, I wouldn't be surprised to see them both operational around the same time.

Nexis4Jersey Jun 28, 2018 1:09 AM

I would like to see Savannah pushed in addition to Jacksonville.

N830MH Jun 28, 2018 1:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nexis4Jersey (Post 8235415)
I would like to see Savannah pushed in addition to Jacksonville.

No, they won't. Only in Florida, not Georgia.

ardecila Jun 28, 2018 6:18 AM

^ The FEC ends in Jacksonville, how do you suggest they continue further north?

Savannah's a tiny city with less than 400k metro population, doesn't even crack the top 100 cities in the US. Not worth the multi-billion expense of building a rail corridor up I-95, or double-tracking CSX's line. It is a tourist destination but only a fraction of Orlando or Tampa/St Pete.

Busy Bee Jun 28, 2018 1:06 PM

Creating an east coast high speed corridor from Boston to Miami should have been a national priority years ago.

Boston-Providence-New Haven-NYC-Phila-Baltimore-Washington-Richmond(w/hsr Norfolk link)-Raleigh/Durham(w/hsr Charlotte & Atlanta link)-Charleston-Savannah-Jacksonville-Miami

You can't tell me this wouldn't be a success with 200 mph trains.

electricron Jun 28, 2018 2:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Busy Bee (Post 8235681)
Creating an east coast high speed corridor from Boston to Miami should have been a national priority years ago.

Boston-Providence-New Haven-NYC-Phila-Baltimore-Washington-Richmond(w/hsr Norfolk link)-Raleigh/Durham(w/hsr Charlotte & Atlanta link)-Charleston-Savannah-Jacksonville-Miami

You can't tell me this wouldn't be a success with 200 mph trains.

I disagree mainly because the distances are too far apart in the south.

The NEC is a HSR corridor, maybe not state of the art anymore but nothing in this world remains state of the art long. My point is that at one time it was - and a governmental agency didn't build it.

Take the distance Boston to Providence (43 miles), Providence to New Haven (113 miles), NYC to New Haven (72 miles) DC to Baltimore (40 miles), Baltimore to Wilmington (69 miles), Wilmington to Philadelphia (25 miles), Philadelphia to NYC (91 miles) then compare that to the distances Jacksonville to Savanah (107 miles), Savanah to Charleston (101 miles) Charleston to Florence (95 miles), Florence to Raleigh (102 miles) Richmond to Raleigh (195 miles) and DC to Richmond (109 miles). Can you you see that the differences are more than twice as far? Which means the density is half as much.

The entire NEC from Boston to DC is 457 miles in length with 26 stations, averaging a station every 17.5 miles. DC to Miami is 1164 miles in length with 46 existing stations (along the route via Charleston and skipping Tampa) averaging a station every 25 miles. Just about every station on the NEC involves a large city, not every one south of DC does, many are at small cities or large towns.

Add the 457 miles of the NEC to the 1184 miles south of DC you'll have 1641 miles. No where in the world do they run HSR trains that far without requiring passengers to transfer trains. CHSR is going to take decades, if not scores, to implement a state of the art HSR train service, can you imagine how much longer it will take to do so over twice as many miles and over 13 different states?

Please don't confuse money thrown at highways with money to be thrown at railways. The Interstate Highway system has a dedicated tax program to fund it, there is no dedicated tax program to fund railways. The Interstate Highway system was built to support the military move supplies from coast to coast as a secondary purpose. Name one army or navy in the world with trains in their inventory? Name one army or navy in the world without trucks? Let that sink in just a little bit! Eisenhower wasn't an artillery, calvary, or infantry field commander, almost his entire military experience was in the supply corps, which moved most of the supplies on the ground in trucks. So of course he wanted modern highways implemented nationally to match what he saw as state of the art in Europe.

Just to put some perspective, using just the US Army alone, and using Wiki as the source of data:
Battle Tanks 5.848 in service, another 3,000 stored
Infantry Fighting Vehicles 6,724
Armored Personnel Carriers 12,709
Armored Combat Support Vehicles 653
Mine Protected Vehicles 25,939
Light Armored Vehicles 260,000
Self Propelled Artillery 2,341
Anti Aircraft 1,024
Trucks 132,500
Plus Light Utility Vehicles, Miscellaneous, and Experemental Vehicles not numbered by Wiki.
Number of trains -0-

ardecila Jun 29, 2018 7:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Busy Bee (Post 8235681)
Creating an east coast high speed corridor from Boston to Miami should have been a national priority years ago.

Boston-Providence-New Haven-NYC-Phila-Baltimore-Washington-Richmond(w/hsr Norfolk link)-Raleigh/Durham(w/hsr Charlotte & Atlanta link)-Charleston-Savannah-Jacksonville-Miami

You can't tell me this wouldn't be a success with 200 mph trains.

Disagree, Charlotte and Atlanta should be on the mainline rather than on spurs. Charleston and Savannah just aren't worth the expense, they're the cities that should be on spurs if anything. Routing through the Piedmont adds about 150mi to the overall corridor but probably improves ridership by a far greater percentage, adding two major metros with over 8M population combined. The coastal corridor is technically shorter but has challenging geography with lots of wide rivers and wetlands, and a whole lot of nothing between Raleigh and Charleston and again between Savannah and Jacksonville.

Norfolk vs. Richmond is probably a toss up, Norfolk has a little bit more metro population but poses engineering challenges and doesn't have a large historic walkable core.

That being said, even with 220mph trains and extensive new construction, the average speed will still be closer to 120mph in a best case scenario, so you'd still have a 15 hour trip Boston to Miami, or a 12 hour trip going DC to Miami. I think we're better off focusing on regional HSR connections than trying to build cross-country main lines, even on the East Coast there's still a lot of lightly populated areas.

NikolasM Jun 29, 2018 7:21 PM

That would be another mainline. NYC to New Orleans. Atlanta and Charlotte would be on that one.

https://www.google.com/maps/@37.1561...ovwve7Bw?hl=en

Busy Bee Jun 30, 2018 12:36 AM

^Correct. Some trains from the north would head to Charlotte and Atlanta, others down the coast to Savannah, Jacksonville and Miami. Not difficult to imagine.

jtown,man Jun 30, 2018 2:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ardecila (Post 8237349)
Disagree, Charlotte and Atlanta should be on the mainline rather than on spurs. Charleston and Savannah just aren't worth the expense, they're the cities that should be on spurs if anything. Routing through the Piedmont adds about 150mi to the overall corridor but probably improves ridership by a far greater percentage, adding two major metros with over 8M population combined. The coastal corridor is technically shorter but has challenging geography with lots of wide rivers and wetlands, and a whole lot of nothing between Raleigh and Charleston and again between Savannah and Jacksonville.

Norfolk vs. Richmond is probably a toss up, Norfolk has a little bit more metro population but poses engineering challenges and doesn't have a large historic walkable core.

That being said, even with 220mph trains and extensive new construction, the average speed will still be closer to 120mph in a best case scenario, so you'd still have a 15 hour trip Boston to Miami, or a 12 hour trip going DC to Miami. I think we're better off focusing on regional HSR connections than trying to build cross-country main lines, even on the East Coast there's still a lot of lightly populated areas.

Very much a side note but Norfolk vs Richmond's urban core is pretty dead-on even. I'll give Richmond a slight edge, but not enough to note.

electricron Jun 30, 2018 3:12 AM

Interesting information from a Wiki article..
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/High-speed_rail
"According to Peter Jorritsma, the rail market share s, as compared to planes, can be computed approximately as a function of the travelling time in minutes t by the formula
s={1 \over 0.031\times 1.016^{t}+1}
According to this formula, a journey time of three hours yields 65% market share. However, market shares are also influenced by ticket prices.
In another study conducted about Japan's High-speed rail service, they found a "4-hour wall" in High-speed rail's market share, which if the high speed rail journey time exceeded 4 hours, then people would likely choose planes over high-speed rail. For instance, from Tokyo to Osaka where high-speed rail take 2h22m, high-speed rail have 85% market share whereas planes have 15%. From Tokyo to Hiroshima which high-speed rail take 3h44m, high-speed rail have 67% market share whereas planes have 33%. The situation is the reverse on the Tokyo to Fukuoka route where high-speed rail takes 4h47m and rail only has 10% market share and planes 90%."

The "4 hour wall" shouldn't be ignored. There's no way HSR train running over 4 hours will come close to breaking even. An east coast over 1,000 mile long HSR line will never ever be less than 4 hours. Additionally, a 4 hour train in one direction should allow the same driver and crew man the return trip of 4 hours. There's a reason why Amtrak frequently switches train crews in New York City for its' NEC trains.

Busy Bee Jun 30, 2018 2:07 PM

I think everyone is greatly underestimating the potential for leisure travelers here. A true high speed railway following the I-95 corridor could carry a huge number of daytrippers, weekenders and vacationers from points north that would otherwise not make the trip at all if the choices are driving or dealing with flying. If people could get from Washington to the SC lowcountry or Savannah beaches in about 2 hours for a weekend, that would be a huge economic impact.

electricron Jun 30, 2018 11:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Busy Bee (Post 8238020)
I think everyone is greatly underestimating the potential for leisure travelers here. A true high speed railway following the I-95 corridor could carry a huge number of daytrippers, weekenders and vacationers from points north that would otherwise not make the trip at all if the choices are driving or dealing with flying. If people could get from Washington to the SC lowcountry or Savannah beaches in about 2 hours for a weekend, that would be a huge economic impact.

Washington DC to Savanah is 604 rail miles, to travel that distance in 2 hours the train would have to average 302 mph. Being slightly more realistic, to travel that distance in 4 hours, that magical "wall" Japan has discovered where people actually ride trains in huge numbers, the train would have to average 151 mph. Acela on the NEC can't even average those speeds.

And that's the shorter distance of DC to Savanah, not NYC to Orlando nor the even longer Boston to Miami.

I repeat, that 4 hour "wall" is real!

The problem with relying upon leisure travelers to make a HSR train profitable, or even close to being profitable, is that leisure travelers don't travel on Tuesdays, Wednesdays, and Thursdays in huge numbers. They travel on Fridays, Saturdays, Sundays, and Mondays.

lrt's friend Jul 1, 2018 3:43 AM

You get ridership on a long HSR route from paired major cities all along the route. If two or more major cities are within the 4 hour wall, that is where the bulk of the ridership will come from. So a 1000 route will succeed if there are pairs of cities all along the route that meet that 4 hour criteria.

electricron Jul 2, 2018 6:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lrt's friend (Post 8238444)
You get ridership on a long HSR route from paired major cities all along the route. If two or more major cities are within the 4 hour wall, that is where the bulk of the ridership will come from. So a 1000 route will succeed if there are pairs of cities all along the route that meet that 4 hour criteria.

Very, very true! All that's left is some major populations in those paired cities.
Looking at CSA statistics:
Boston 8,099,575
New York City 23,689,255
Philadelphia - Camden 6,096,120
Baltimore - DC 9,764,315
Richmond 1,263,617
Raleigh- Durham 2,037,430
Charleston 744,526
Savannah 544,092
Jacksonville 1,631,488

Orlando 3,129,308
Miami 6,723,472

There's a huge gap in city pairs population required to support a HSR line between DC and Orlando - and I believe including Orlando might be a mistake. Never-the-less, HSR trains will only be worthwhile if they are nearly full. I do not see DC to Orlando city pairs supporting HSR trains every hour much less every half hour like Acela on the NEC. It's 899 rail miles between DC and Orlando, a train averaging 125 mph will require more than 7 hours to travel - remember that 4 hour "wall" discovered in Japan - where many more passengers will chose to ride a train.....

It's not like there aren't cities along the way, or that the cities that do exist are twice as far apart as they are on the NEC, it's that these cities south of DC and north of Florida are too small for frequent train services HSR requires.

Rational Plan3 Jul 2, 2018 12:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by electricron (Post 8239085)
Very, very true! All that's left is some major populations in those paired cities.
Looking at CSA statistics:
Boston 8,099,575
New York City 23,689,255
Philadelphia - Camden 6,096,120
Baltimore - DC 9,764,315
Richmond 1,263,617
Raleigh- Durham 2,037,430
Charleston 744,526
Savannah 544,092
Jacksonville 1,631,488

Orlando 3,129,308
Miami 6,723,472

There's a huge gap in city pairs population required to support a HSR line between DC and Orlando - and I believe including Orlando might be a mistake. Never-the-less, HSR trains will only be worthwhile if they are nearly full. I do not see DC to Orlando city pairs supporting HSR trains every hour much less every half hour like Acela on the NEC. It's 899 rail miles between DC and Orlando, a train averaging 125 mph will require more than 7 hours to travel - remember that 4 hour "wall" discovered in Japan - where many more passengers will chose to ride a train.....

It's not like there aren't cities along the way, or that the cities that do exist are twice as far apart as they are on the NEC, it's that these cities south of DC and north of Florida are too small for frequent train services HSR requires.

I suspect you could stretch a line from DC to Raleigh Durham, but no further.

What matters in the SE is what city pairs to Atlanta could be supported.

electricron Jul 2, 2018 4:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rational Plan3 (Post 8239114)
I suspect you could stretch a line from DC to Raleigh Durham, but no further.

What matters in the SE is what city pairs to Atlanta could be supported.

Atlanta to Charolette is brought up frequently here, here’s how they stack up population (CSA) wise.
Atlanta 6,162,195
Charolette 2,632,249
It’s 258 rail miles between them, a HSR train averaging 125 mph will take around two hours. How many trains Charolette could support today would be my major difficulty, would it be enough trains to make a dedicated HSR line worthwhile? Could North and South Carolinia statehouses join Georgia to subsidize this HSR line?

ardecila Jul 2, 2018 11:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by electricron (Post 8239268)
Atlanta to Charolette is brought up frequently here, here’s how they stack up population (CSA) wise.
Atlanta 6,162,195
Charolette 2,632,249
It’s 258 rail miles between them, a HSR train averaging 125 mph will take around two hours. How many trains Charolette could support today would be my major difficulty, would it be enough trains to make a dedicated HSR line worthwhile? Could North and South Carolinia statehouses join Georgia to subsidize this HSR line?

It might be difficult politically if someone tried it today but you can bet leaders in Southern states are looking closely at All Aboard Florida and Texas Central, which would be a private-sector way to accomplish high-speed (or at least medium-speed) rail service without saddling taxpayers.

ardecila Jul 2, 2018 11:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Busy Bee (Post 8237692)
^Correct. Some trains from the north would head to Charlotte and Atlanta, others down the coast to Savannah, Jacksonville and Miami. Not difficult to imagine.

I don't think the coastal corridor has enough population. If you're spending billions to build a true 220mph mainline through the South east of the Appalachians, it should go through the biggest cities (i.e. Atlanta and Charlotte). You've also got Athens, Greensboro and Spartanburg along the way which have major industries or universities.

The Crescent Corridor to New Orleans should not be built out at 220mph. What a waste that would be. The cities along the route are not major business or tourism destinations, with the exception of New Orleans... but even then I'm not sure if the demand is there, building a new 220mph mainline into that city would cost multiple billions on its own. It would be better to just double-track the existing freight corridors and do 150mph service as Illinois is installing on the Chi-StL corridor right now. That would only be a few billion per corridor which is reasonable enough to sell as a national network. With a proper PTC installation those upgraded lines could use lightweight DMU trains for better performance.

electricron Jul 3, 2018 2:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ardecila (Post 8239709)
I don't think the coastal corridor has enough population. If you're spending billions to build a true 220mph mainline through the South east of the Appalachians, it should go through the biggest cities (i.e. Atlanta and Charlotte). You've also got Athens, Greensboro and Spartanburg along the way which have major industries or universities.

The Crescent Corridor to New Orleans should not be built out at 220mph. What a waste that would be. The cities along the route are not major business or tourism destinations, with the exception of New Orleans... but even then I'm not sure if the demand is there, building a new 220mph mainline into that city would cost multiple billions on its own. It would be better to just double-track the existing freight corridors and do 150mph service as Illinois is installing on the Chi-StL corridor right now. That would only be a few billion per corridor which is reasonable enough to sell as a national network. With a proper PTC installation those upgraded lines could use lightweight DMU trains for better performance.

The Chicago to St.Louis corridor wasn't upgrade to 150 mph, it's being upgraded to 110 mph. So far, few trains have reached those speeds after more than a decade of on and off construction by the UPRR. Maybe in another decade Illini will be able to ride trains for most of that distance at 110 mph, and maybe not. It sure is taking way too much time to implement higher speed trains service.

ardecila Jul 3, 2018 4:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by electricron (Post 8239853)
The Chicago to St.Louis corridor wasn't upgrade to 150 mph, it's being upgraded to 110 mph. So far, few trains have reached those speeds after more than a decade of on and off construction by the UPRR. Maybe in another decade Illini will be able to ride trains for most of that distance at 110 mph, and maybe not. It sure is taking way too much time to implement higher speed trains service.

The track and structure improvements funded by Obama's HSIPR are substantially complete, and all station renovation or replacements are finished as well. The line is physically capable of 110mph speeds with new track, roadbed and structures, plus fencing and crossing gates along virtually the entire length. Work is ongoing to grade-separate and consolidate two train lines through downtown Springfield, but that's a separate project. Long term plans include a full double track, as well as new routings through Chicagoland and St Louis Metro East, but those also are separate projects with no funding.

Increased speeds are just waiting on testing of the PTC system. The deadline for that keeps slipping. Apparently tracking the location and speed of a few trains is harder than sending a man to the moon or putting a powerful computer in every pocket. :shrug:

But somehow AAF completed their PTC system while following all FRA regulations, so it's not impossible. How hard can it be, you're literally just comparing GPS locations to a model stringline chart and then issuing directions to the train's control system to speed up or slow down. In theory it doesn't even need any physical infrastructure like trackside signals.

eleven=11 Jul 10, 2018 8:58 PM

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tampa_Union_Station
this is location of tampa brightline station near/next to new 800 million Rays stadium

bobdreamz Jul 15, 2018 11:58 AM

To Meet Demand, Brightline Is Adding More Service
 
By TNM Staff on July 12, 2018

Demand for Brightline tickets has been growing since service started, and the company is responding with a big increase in service.

In early August, the number of roundtrip trains from Miami to West Palm Beach will increase nearly 50 percent. There are currently 11 daily roundtrips, which will increase to 16.

A spokesperson told the SFBJ that demand has been “phenomenal.”

With the increase, there will be a train leaving in each direction nearly every hour, from early morning to late night. The first train departs West Palm Beach at 5:30am, and the last train leaves Miami at 11:10pm.

Prices have already increased, and a roundtrip between Miami and West Palm Beach in first class can now cost as much as $70. A one way ticket from Miami to West Palm Beach in the premium Select class ranges from $30 to $35 depending on the time. A basic one-way ticket in Smart class starts at $20 on weekdays.

Tickets for the new August timings are already on sale.

https://www.thenextmiami.com/to-meet...t-more-trains/

bobdreamz Jul 15, 2018 12:43 PM

Commuters embrace Brightline (Video)
 
Scroll down for the video :

https://www.bizjournals.com/southflo...s-embrace.html

Rational Plan3 Jul 15, 2018 9:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by electricron (Post 8239268)
Atlanta to Charolette is brought up frequently here, here’s how they stack up population (CSA) wise.
Atlanta 6,162,195
Charolette 2,632,249
It’s 258 rail miles between them, a HSR train averaging 125 mph will take around two hours. How many trains Charolette could support today would be my major difficulty, would it be enough trains to make a dedicated HSR line worthwhile? Could North and South Carolinia statehouses join Georgia to subsidize this HSR line?

Well London to Newcastle (Conurbation 1 million) is roughly the same distance in the UK on a track that does not exceed 125 mph. That market can sustain a half hourly train, plus a few extra peak services. One an express with 3 stops (2 hours 50 minutes) and one calling at 7 stops ( 3 hours 10 minutes). Non of the cities between exceed 250,000 most are much smaller. Even a conventional train between those cities should be able to sustain an hourly train quite quickly.

SIGSEGV Jul 16, 2018 5:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rational Plan3 (Post 8251799)
Well London to Newcastle (Conurbation 1 million) is roughly the same distance in the UK on a track that does not exceed 125 mph. That market can sustain a half hourly train, plus a few extra peak services. One an express with 3 stops (2 hours 50 minutes) and one calling at 7 stops ( 3 hours 10 minutes). Non of the cities between exceed 250,000 most are much smaller. Even a conventional train between those cities should be able to sustain an hourly train quite quickly.

Atlanta would really need a downtown station for this to be viable, I think.

electricron Jul 16, 2018 1:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rational Plan3 (Post 8251799)
Well London to Newcastle (Conurbation 1 million) is roughly the same distance in the UK on a track that does not exceed 125 mph. That market can sustain a half hourly train, plus a few extra peak services. One an express with 3 stops (2 hours 50 minutes) and one calling at 7 stops ( 3 hours 10 minutes). Non of the cities between exceed 250,000 most are much smaller. Even a conventional train between those cities should be able to sustain an hourly train quite quickly.

Let's review the respected city pairs population again....
Atlanta 6,162,195
Charolette 2,632,249
Subtotal 8,794,444
Number of cities along the route that Amtrak stops at presently is 6
Gastonia, NC 75,536
Spartanburg, SC 37,876
Greenville, SC 67,453
Clemson, SC 16,058
Toccoa, GA 8,412
Gainesville, GA 40,000
Subtotal 245,335

London 13,709,000
Newcastle 1,599,000
Subtotal 15,308,000
Number of cities along the route large enough to warrant a train station as reported by you is 7.
Per Wiki, 15,308,000
"The main line between London King's Cross and Edinburgh Waverley stations, via (1)Stevenage, (2)Peterborough, (3)Grantham, (4)Newark North Gate, (5)Retford, (6)Doncaster, (7)York, (8)Northallerton, (9)Darlington, (10)Durham, Newcastle, Morpeth, Alnmouth, Berwick-upon-Tweed and Dunbar."
There's 10 stations between London and Newcastle, I haven't the slightest idea which 7 the train stations your trains stop at, so let's subtotal all 10.
Stevenage 87,100.
Peterborough 183,631
Grantham 44,580
Newark North Gate 27,700
Retford 22,013
Doncaster 158,141
York 208,079
Northallerton 16,832
Darlington 105,564
Durham 65,549
Subtotal 749,189

If you can't see the difference between 8,794,444 and 15,308,000; and the differences between 245,335 and 749,189; you need to learn to count. In both the terminating cities, and the intermediate cities, your train in England runs through cities and towns with two to three times more population.

You have to look at all the different aspects of a rail line from all points of views when comparing the viability of different rail lines to one another.

Rational Plan3 Jul 16, 2018 6:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by electricron (Post 8252344)
Let's review the respected city pairs population again....
Atlanta 6,162,195
Charolette 2,632,249
Subtotal 8,794,444
Number of cities along the route that Amtrak stops at presently is 6
Gastonia, NC 75,536
Spartanburg, SC 37,876
Greenville, SC 67,453
Clemson, SC 16,058
Toccoa, GA 8,412
Gainesville, GA 40,000
Subtotal 245,335

London 13,709,000
Newcastle 1,599,000
Subtotal 15,308,000
Number of cities along the route large enough to warrant a train station as reported by you is 7.
Per Wiki, 15,308,000
"The main line between London King's Cross and Edinburgh Waverley stations, via (1)Stevenage, (2)Peterborough, (3)Grantham, (4)Newark North Gate, (5)Retford, (6)Doncaster, (7)York, (8)Northallerton, (9)Darlington, (10)Durham, Newcastle, Morpeth, Alnmouth, Berwick-upon-Tweed and Dunbar."
There's 10 stations between London and Newcastle, I haven't the slightest idea which 7 the train stations your trains stop at, so let's subtotal all 10.
Stevenage 87,100.
Peterborough 183,631
Grantham 44,580
Newark North Gate 27,700
Retford 22,013
Doncaster 158,141
York 208,079
Northallerton 16,832
Darlington 105,564
Durham 65,549
Subtotal 749,189

If you can't see the difference between 8,794,444 and 15,308,000; and the differences between 245,335 and 749,189; you need to learn to count. In both the terminating cities, and the intermediate cities, your train in England runs through cities and towns with two to three times more population.

You have to look at all the different aspects of a rail line from all points of views when comparing the viability of different rail lines to one another.

That metro population is for Newcastle is a gross exaggeration. To be that high it needs to include most of the counties of Durham and Northumberland. Sunderland is served by it's own direct trains these days. Sunderland is usually lumped in with the 1 million population for Tyne & Wear (which Newcastle is the most important, but not much larger than the other cities).

I also said it would not be hard for Atlanta Charlotte to support half the level of service that Newcastle does. It also matter how many cars are in each train, In the UK it has been that intercity travel is served by relatively short trains compared to some on the European mainline, the difference being that trains between british cities are much more frequent.

An hourly 6 car train could easily be filled, as long as it was not hobbled by those useless US passenger train practices ( I mean, a conductor every two cars?) it could prove quite profitable.

BrownTown Jul 16, 2018 7:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rational Plan3 (Post 8252688)
An hourly 6 car train could easily be filled, as long as it was not hobbled by those useless US passenger train practices ( I mean, a conductor every two cars?) it could prove quite profitable.

All depends on the cost to build it. The US isn't exactly good at building rail cheaply although the cheaper land, labor costs and weaker unions in the South would certainly make the cost per mile much cheaper than California.

electricron Jul 17, 2018 12:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rational Plan3 (Post 8252688)
That metro population is for Newcastle is a gross exaggeration. To be that high it needs to include most of the counties of Durham and Northumberland. Sunderland is served by it's own direct trains these days. Sunderland is usually lumped in with the 1 million population for Tyne & Wear (which Newcastle is the most important, but not much larger than the other cities).

I don’t invent data, here’s my source for Newcastle population.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Newcastle_upon_Tyne
Specifically:
Population (mid-2017 est.)[2]
• City 295,800 (ranked 40th district)
• Urban (Tyneside) 879,996 (ranked 7th)
• Metro (Tyneside–Wearside) 1,650,000 (ranked 6th)
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Newcastle_upon_Tyne

I almost always use Metro or CSA statistics because it includes the population of all the city’s suburbs.
Charolette metro per Wiki:
Population (2016 Census estimate)
• Urban 1,249,442
• Metro 2,474,314
• CSA 2,632,249
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Char...ropolitan_area • City
Population (2010 Census)
• City 731,424
• Urban 1,249,442
• Metro 2,474,314
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Char...North_Carolina

It would be very, very unfair to compare city statistics to metro statistics. I’m trying to compare apples to apples, not apples with oranges. If you prefer the city statistics over metro statistics, let’s lower all the city statistics.
Charolette is now 731,424
Atlanta is now 420,003
London is now 8,787,892
Newcastle is now 295,800
Therefore, the relative city pairs population is now
London + Newcastle = 9,083 ,692
Atlanta + Charolette = 1,151,427
So what was a two to three times population advantage for the UK train is now an eight to nine times population advantage.

I still think my earlier comparison using metro statistics was more fair.

For those unfamiliar with America’s CSA statistic:
CSAs represent multiple metropolitan or micropolitan areas that have an employment interchange of at least 15%.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comb...atistical_area

If at least 15% of workers living in a suburban city commute to work in the central city, or vice versa, it’s included in the central city’s CSA.

Rational Plan3 Jul 17, 2018 6:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by electricron (Post 8253023)
I don’t invent data, here’s my source for Newcastle population.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Newcastle_upon_Tyne
Specifically:
Population (mid-2017 est.)[2]
• City 295,800 (ranked 40th district)
• Urban (Tyneside) 879,996 (ranked 7th)
• Metro (Tyneside–Wearside) 1,650,000 (ranked 6th)
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Newcastle_upon_Tyne

I almost always use Metro or CSA statistics because it includes the population of all the city’s suburbs.
Charolette metro per Wiki:
Population (2016 Census estimate)
• Urban 1,249,442
• Metro 2,474,314
• CSA 2,632,249
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Char...ropolitan_area • City
Population (2010 Census)
• City 731,424
• Urban 1,249,442
• Metro 2,474,314
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Char...North_Carolina

It would be very, very unfair to compare city statistics to metro statistics. I’m trying to compare apples to apples, not apples with oranges. If you prefer the city statistics over metro statistics, let’s lower all the city statistics.
Charolette is now 731,424
Atlanta is now 420,003
London is now 8,787,892
Newcastle is now 295,800
Therefore, the relative city pairs population is now
London + Newcastle = 9,083 ,692
Atlanta + Charolette = 1,151,427
So what was a two to three times population advantage for the UK train is now an eight to nine times population advantage.

I still think my earlier comparison using metro statistics was more fair.

For those unfamiliar with America’s CSA statistic:
CSAs represent multiple metropolitan or micropolitan areas that have an employment interchange of at least 15%.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comb...atistical_area

If at least 15% of workers living in a suburban city commute to work in the central city, or vice versa, it’s included in the central city’s CSA.

The populations of the five councils of Tyne & Wear barely break a million people, they have therefore added some surrounding counties. We shall have agree to disagree, but I can't see why a hundred mile an hour train service supplied by a DMU train with 5 or 6 carriages and just one on board conductor, plus a refreshment seller, could not support an hourly service after a year or two. Ditch some of the smaller towns that do not have a decent population in the surrounding county and the train will still get there in a reasonable time. Even a two hourly service would be a good start for an intercity line.

But of course that would require a major change in politics in America, more than anything else. The USA is a big place but the only place that would struggle to support many services are West of the Mississippi. Texas and California excepted. Apart from some of the denser spots I don't see the point in putting on services that span more than a state or two.

Qubert Jul 17, 2018 11:33 PM

You could potentially justify extending the NEC to Atlanta via Richmond -> Raleigh -> Charlotte but not all the way to Florida. There's simply too much nothingness along I-95

NikolasM Jul 18, 2018 4:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Qubert (Post 8254115)
You could potentially justify extending the NEC to Atlanta via Richmond -> Raleigh -> Charlotte but not all the way to Florida. There's simply too much nothingness along I-95

Well that just means you can let 'er rip at 220 for that stretch. Or you can stop at stations near Charleston, Hilton Head, and Savannah - major tourist destinations and seat fillers.

BrownTown Jul 19, 2018 3:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NikolasM (Post 8254748)
Well that just means you can let 'er rip at 220 for that stretch. Or you can stop at stations near Charleston, Hilton Head, and Savannah - major tourist destinations and seat fillers.

High speed rail only works in the mid-range distances. Too short and a car is easier, but too long and a plane is easier. The long gaps along I-95 are too long for HSR to be highly effective. It's not even close really.

NikolasM Jul 19, 2018 5:09 PM

Does high speed rail not work in China? The longest high speed line in the world there is longer than the distance from NYC to Miami.

electricron Jul 19, 2018 10:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NikolasM (Post 8255748)
Does high speed rail not work in China? The longest high speed line in the world there is longer than the distance from NYC to Miami.

HSR Line. Can one ride the same train in the same seat the entire way? If one can, how many trains a day travel the entire way? How many trains turn around at intermediate cities?

N830MH Aug 8, 2018 8:10 PM

Hi all,

Brightline has potential for Tampa International Airport station.

https://www.bizjournals.com/tampabay...-talks-on.html

electricron Aug 8, 2018 11:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by N830MH (Post 8275637)
Hi all,

Brightline has potential for Tampa International Airport station.

https://www.bizjournals.com/tampabay...-talks-on.html

Wow, another paywall news story I do not wish to pay to read.
Was it impossible for you to include a short synopsis what was in it?

Tampa’s airport is on the opposite side of Tampa’s downtown than Orlando. Do you really believe Brightline will want to extend their trains beyond downtown Tampa?

redblock Aug 9, 2018 1:26 PM

Delete - link failed

Crawford Aug 9, 2018 4:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NikolasM (Post 8255748)
Does high speed rail not work in China? The longest high speed line in the world there is longer than the distance from NYC to Miami.

China has like 5 times the density, low car ownership, govt. highly incentivizing HSR and highly disincentiving car use.

So yes, it can work, but in the U.S. context. Even something like Brightline won't exist in 5 years. It will either be govt. rail (something like Amtrak) or gone.

ardecila Aug 10, 2018 2:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by electricron (Post 8275825)
Wow, another paywall news story I do not wish to pay to read.
Was it impossible for you to include a short synopsis what was in it?

Tampa’s airport is on the opposite side of Tampa’s downtown than Orlando. Do you really believe Brightline will want to extend their trains beyond downtown Tampa?

Downtown Tampa isn't a major draw like downtown Miami is. Just like with Orlando, Brightline probably stands to earn more revenue by serving the airport in Tampa than the downtown. If they have to pick one, it's probably gonna be the airport - especially since Tampa already has an APM to a remote parking site, so the tracks don't have to get to the core terminal area.

However, unlike in Orlando, Tampa does not present an either/or for station locations. Iin Tampa the easiest right-of-way, I-4, passes along the edge of downtown, so they can add a downtown stop fairly easily, and it will sit adjacent to the city's bus hub.

eleven=11 Aug 16, 2018 1:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by eleven=11 (Post 8247127)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tampa_Union_Station
this is location of tampa brightline station near/next to new 800 million Rays stadium

this is tampa station location

eleven=11 Aug 30, 2018 10:44 PM

https://www.thenextmiami.com/1-75b-b...r-orlando-leg/
wow big news


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