US Metro Areas(MSA) by 5-year job growth
From bls.gov
Metro Areas(MSA) with a Population of 1 Million+ by Non-Farm Job Growth from September 2014 through September 2019 +716,800 New York +7.78% +527,600 Los Angeles +9.25% +508,700 Dallas +15.38% +331,400 San Francisco +15.20% +331,300 Atlanta +13.14% +318,300 Phoenix +17.15% +299,700 Miami +12.33% +275,100 Chicago +6.05% +273,900 Seattle +14.79% +244,400 Riverside +18.89% +230,000 Orlando +20.65% +227,400 Washington DC +7.30% +214,300 Houston +7.24% +199,500 Boston +7.63% +193,800 Philadelphia +6.95% +169,600 Tampa +13.99% +169,100 Denver +12.40% +168,100 San Diego +12.48% +167,200 Charlotte +15.59% +165,100 Austin +17.79% +147,200 Las Vegas +16.48% +145,100 San Jose +14.30% +140,100 Portland +12.92% +133,900 Nashville +15.01% +133,500 Detroit +7.01% +127,300 Sacramento +14.27% +126,800 San Antonio +13.20% +109,900 Minneapolis +5.76% +98,800 Salt Lake City +15.02% +98,400 Jacksonville +15.75% +94,500 Columbus +9.21% +92,500 Kansas City +9.00% +90,700 Cincinnati +8.61% +86,500 Raleigh +15.31% +88,200 St Louis +6.63% +87,500 Indianapolis +8.72% +83,200 Baltimore +6.15% +50,700 Fresno +16.02% +49,200 Grand Rapids +9.50% +45,100 Cleveland +4.33% +42,900 Richmond +7.75% +41,000 Memphis +6.63% +34,300 Oklahoma City +5.47% +33,700 Virginia Beach +4.42% +30,000 Birmingham +5.78% +29,500 Milwaukee +3.46% +28,400 Providence +4.93% +27,000 Pittsburgh +2.31% +25,600 Tucson +6.99% +22,500 New Orleans +3.98% +21,300 Rochester +4.06% +17,100 Buffalo +3.08% +14,900 Tulsa +3.37% Here's the Top 15 MSAs back to the beginning of this decade. Sep 2010-Sep 2019 MSA Job Growth: +1,342,700 New York +15.65% +956,000 Los Angeles +18.13% +881,100 Dallas +30.02% +597,900 Houston +23.22% +581,900 San Francisco +30.15% +578,400 Atlanta +25.44% +551,600 Chicago +13.22% +548,000 Miami +25.12% +492,100 Phoenix +29.26% +449,200 Seattle +26.80% +397,800 Riverside +34.89% +376,900 Boston +15.48% +354,200 Washington DC +11.86% |
No huge surprises, I don't think.
Pittsburgh is the worst performer, when it's the consensus Rust Belt comeback metro. Detroit has the best Rust Belt performance, when it's the consensus most troubled major metro. Dallas has amazing growth for a metro of its size, and considering it isn't a tech hub. |
Atlanta's economy has definitely come roaring back.
Raleigh does very well by itself without Durham. I don't see Louisville on this list. |
Thanks for the list.
Chicago is kind of surprising. The metro is barely growing, yet it has decent job growth. |
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I am more amazed at the uber expensive, super high tax, red-tape laden, NIMBY infested SF metro actually growing on par with Dallas. LOL |
So the LA csa added as much as ny.
Not bad. |
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[u]CSA Job Growth, Sep 2010-Sep 2019 +1,387,800 LOS ANGELES +20.75% +1,051,500 SAN FRANCISCO +28.81% + 887,800 DALLAS +29.82% |
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Although the metro area is so large that even a small percentage growth probably results in a large absolute growth. |
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It's job growth is a lot higher than its population growth. |
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Job growth also reflects the decline in unemployment over this period. so it may not be tied just to population growth which is a different contributor.
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I'm not sure what "being the whitest major Rust Belt city" would have to do with it, and I'd rather not go there. I think when people visit and they experience the dramatic topography (which offers constantly changing views of the city), impressive infrastructure and architecture, and numerous unique and historic neighborhoods set in the hills and on the rivers, they come away with a really positive experience. It's a very unique city in the US. It doesn't really look like anywhere else, and the experience on the ground isn't much like anywhere else because of the fact that it's a major city built where no major city should be built. But there's no doubt that there exists A LOT of grit. Pittsburgh makes no excuses for that, and totally owns it. Basically saying, "Well, if you produced most of the nation's metal for a century and won two world wars and literally built the country, you'd look like this too". There are plenty of city neighborhoods and outlying steel towns in bad shape, though overall it's gotten A LOT better (at least in the city proper and close-in urban neighborhoods). |
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Also everyone note how weighted the growth is to the 14'-19' period vs the first half of the decade. The depression *caugh* I mean "recession" really was a doozy |
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For example, DC has minimal growth, and Phoenix and IE had crazy growth. But that's largely a reflection of the fact that DC never really went into recession, and Phoenix and IE had horrible downturns. Both have economies tied to housing construction, which cratered during the recession. The (relatively) good Detroit numbers are a reflection of the previous regional depression, so any return to normalcy will show healthy growth. If Detroit never cratered, its numbers would be worse, probably in line with Cleveland, Buffalo and Pittsburgh. The numbers for Seattle are particularly impressive (though not surprising) because Seattle didn't previously crater. Obviously tech-oriented metros are largely responsible for this latest expansion. Though when there's a downturn, I bet Seattle will temporarily have worse-than-average growth, simply because it's going all-cylinders now, so normalcy will look bad. |
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the 5 year growth numbers are not reflective of recovery but of new growth for the most part. DC is stable because it is tied to a generally reality proof industry AKA the USA federal government. |
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As a sun-belt city it shares many of the characteristics of the current growth patterns in Texas. There are many indications that these particular patterns are still quite active and may be so for some time to come. Nonetheless. historically we have seen patterns of city growth that reflect several key demographic factors in the US and other industrial countries. That history almost always shows that at some point in time the extraordinary growth pattern slows and/or stops and the cities affected reach a stage of population stability. The "raw" and the "cooked" if you will. |
Houston is definitely slowing down. Even without seeing the stats, you can just see it around town and if you're in market for new job. When I was looking a couple of years ago, got far more bites in Bay Area at least in my line of work.
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Figuring out where each city is going to max is really more or less impossible to say unless you are an expert on a wide range of subjects and a very good guesser to boot. And of course the calculus behind why people are moving to places and not change all the time because of technology, economics and culture. Assuming nothing extreme changes, and of course the ebb and flow of recessions and growth periods I think you'll see what I consider Phase 1 sunbelt growth mature and level off in Florida, Houston/Dallas , California in the next couple of decades. Certainly by 2050. Phase 2 sunbelt, your Arizona's, Nevada's, Austin, Denver North Carolina, Tennessee etc, will level off a decade or two later. At that point I expect rapid growth rent-seeking to be pushed into the inter- mountain west. Idaho, Montana, Utah, Dakota's, Nebraska, maybe even Anchorage This will be the last part of the country to develop for a number of reasons mostly its the farthest from the ocean and other transportation hubs and is a difficult place to live without modern technology and capitol That will take us well into next century. Obviously other cities might suddenly explode or regions might find themselves the hub of some new yet unknown industry that may change that flow but I think generally that is what we will see happen. Now where will the USA level off population wise? Overall I think somewhere around 500-600 million. But once again that is assuming we dont have some major cultural change that once again promotes high levels of childbirth. Or maybe some new revolutionary technologies or public programs will change the affordability of raising a kid immensely thus leading to a baby boom. Who knows. |
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Good points and we will see what happens. I personally think that climate change and rising sea levels will play a critical role in the future growth of American cities. In which case, those that are far inland or at altitutde, eg. Dallas, Atlanta will have an advantage. |
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Nobody reputable has ever predicted that climate change will make coasts uninhabitable or end every coastal city. When you see those stories its usually nonsense or extreme editorial exaggeration to grab clicks. |
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Changing the subject a little to another city, why has Pittsburgh been such a laggard? |
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I think Pittsburgh is still transitioning from a largely blue collar town to a high tech/ knowledge economy. Which weeds out a lot of people in the work force. If you have a degree, you're probably good to go but no degree, you're probably exploring your options somewhere else. Like Texas.. |
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50 States and DC, Job Growth Sep 2010-Sep 2019: California +3,263,000 +22.85%
Texas +2,464,300 +23.70% Florida +1,883,200 +26.26% New York +1,259,400 +14.74% Georgia +771,800 +19.97% North Carolina +709,300 +18.38% Washington +674,600 +23.81% Colorado +569,500 +25.65% Arizona +569,100 +23.98% Illinois +568,900 +10.12% Michigan +568,700 +14.67% Ohio +549,400 +10.89% Tennessee +503,300 +19.20% Massachussetts +461,700 +14.33% Pennsylvania +412,400 +7.32% Utah +389,200 +32.87% Virginia +372,700 +10.20% New Jersey+372,000 +9.72% Indiana +370,900 +13.25% South Carolina +364,800 +20.10% Oregon +342,300 +21.37% Minnesota +329,100 +12.49% Nevada +327,800 +29.46% Missouri +255,300 +9.57% Wisconsin +255,300 +9.36% Maryland +240,800 +9.57% Alabama +203,500 +10.78% Kentucky +196,400 +11.13% Idaho +160,500 +26.65% Oklahoma +141,800 +9.12% Iowa +130,200 +8.88% Arkansas +115,200 +9.89% Kansas +110,200 +8.29% Louisiana +104,100 +5.51% District of Columbia +86,600 +12.12% Nebraska +85,900 +9.07% Connecticut +82,300 +5.08% Mississippi +77,400 +7.08% Hawaii +77,100 +13.15% New Hampshire +66,500 +10.67% New Mexico +65,100 +8.16% North Dakota +58,100 +15.38% Montana +55,000 +12.85% Delaware +51,900 +12.44% Rhode Island +45,100 +9.83% South Dakota +43,800 +10.83% Maine +39,000 +6.57% Vermont +19,300 +6.46% West Virginia +16,100 +2.24% Alaska +4,200 +1.28% Wyoming +2,600 +0.90% |
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New York too. Huh. |
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I wonder what the response would be if California added only 5-10%.
But facts are facts. For all the talk about Texas's business friendly jibber jabber, it didn't even gain 1 more percent of job growth than California in 9 years. I'd figured there would be some kind of landslide, according to certain "facts". NOPE. |
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2010-2019 Job Growth +1,387,800 LOS ANGELES CSA +20.75% +1,051,500 SAN FRANCISCO CSA +28.81% Quote:
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